Todd Gillespie and Sridhar Natarajan
Lloyd Blankfein, who led Goldman Sachs Group through the 2008 financial crisis, is now ringing alarm bells as Wall Street steers cash from US savers into its latest lending binge: private credit.
The financial system appears to be inching toward another potential catastrophe with everyday Americans exposed to some of the losses, Goldmanโs former longtime chief executive officer said in an interview with the Bloomberg News Big Take podcast. The assets at issue can be hard to analyse, may feature hidden leverage and can become tough to sell.
โOne has to worry about opaque assets where thereโs illiquidity,โ he said. โWeโre getting close to the end of late stages of cycles on this โ and weโre due for a kind of a reckoning.โ
Blankfein, 71, criticised financial firms โ which have reaped riches for years from private investments โ for seeking to give retail investors access to those holdings precisely at a time when theyโre more likely to blow up. Last year, President Donald Trump signed an executive order that will ease the path to putting assets including private credit and private equity into employer sponsored retirement savings plans in the US.
Itโs a particularly tumultuous time for the $US1.8 trillion ($2.5 trillion) private credit market. Souring loans are stinging debt funds for some of the largest asset managers including BlackRock In the UK, banked-backed mortgage firm Market Financial Solutions was forced into insolvency last week amid accusations of fraud and double-pledging of assets.
Goldman is among numerous Wall Street firms embracing retail investors. Last year, the bank invested in asset manager T. Rowe Price Group and said the pair would collaborate to package more of Goldmanโs private-market bets into retirement products.
Blankfein, whose memoir Streetwise will be published on Tuesday (US time), was lambasted by some US lawmakers over Goldmanโs role in the financial crisis during a marathon hearing in 2010, the same year his bank agreed to a $US550 million settlement for allegations it mis-sold a complex financial product in the run-up to the subprime mortgage crisis. Goldman admitted no fault.
At the time, he noted that Goldman primarily dealt with sophisticated institutional clients, such as money managers, investment funds and companies. In the interview, Blankfein said that thereโs a risk similar frustrations could crop up again if everyday people get stung.
โWhen you lose money for individual consumers โ i.e. taxpayers and citizens โ people in government get very, very upset. Regulators get very, very upset,โ he said.
In a separate interview on Thursday, Blankfein spoke to Pablo Salame, Citadelโs co-chief investment officer and one of his former protรฉgรฉs at Goldman. Blankfein said he saw signs that the economy was getting closer to a crash.
โI wonder where thereโs hidden secret leverage,โ he said. โNow everyone says, โOh, the worldโs not leveraged.โ Thatโs exactly what everybody said in the mortgage crisis until you suddenly discover that there was a lot of mortgage risk in Iceland.โ
JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon said in February that heโs seen rivals do โdumb thingsโ to enhance their earnings, including making risky loans to firms that have failed. Fears about the banking industryโs risk exposure have mounted, sending the KBW Bank Index on Friday slumping the most since April.
For its part, Goldmanโs asset-management arm has sought to reassure clients that redemption rates and exposures to software companies at risk of being sidelined by artificial intelligence are both relatively low in one of its biggest retail-oriented private-credit funds.
As traders remain on edge and concerns rise over failures of private lenders, thereโs still an uneasy echo for some of the early days of the 2008 crisis.
โIt sort of smells like that kind of a moment again,โ Blankfein said at the Citadel event. โI donโt feel the storm, but the horses are starting to whinny in the corral.โ
Bloomberg
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