The equation for tonight’s match is simple: the winner will take on New Zealand next Saturday while the loser will set up a date against Australia at Allianz Stadium next Sunday.
Earlier, Tonga beat England 30-12, before beating Lebanon 36-0.
Samoa, meanwhile, hammered France 78-4 and then smashed PNG 64-6.
The bookies have Tonga has slim $1.74 favourites.